Widespread PROOF-LESS Adoption of SOME Educ Uses of Tech

e.g., “Low-Threshold” apps: email, wordprocessing, Google, #vwwt2000 Predctn8

PREDICTION #8 OF 20 from year 2000
Still likely?
No Proof, But Widespread Adoption of Email, Web, and Instructional Combinations
No conclusive proof of the general educational superiority of any technology application will emerge. Evaluation and assessment activities will be used more frequently to improve the results of continuing investments of time, money, and other resources in educational uses of technology. However, some combinations of technology application, teaching/learning approach, and subject matter content will be widely adopted because they are so easily implemented, reasonably priced, and OBVIOUSLY effective in achieving important educational goals. Debate about these combinations, if it arises at all, will be brief and inconsequential. For example, the vast majority of faculty members will decide to use electronic mail and the World Wide Web in their scholarly work – including teaching – without the benefit of convincing evaluative studies.

- 8th of 20 predictions from "A New Vision Worth Working Toward: Connected Education and Collaborative Change," Steven W. Gilbert, 2000-2006, First version published via AAHESGIT listserv January, 2000; PDF of full article
Image: Diagram showing proof without words for Pythagorean theorem - with question mark superimposed.  Based on:
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/c/c5/GouguAnim.ogv
By HB (Own work) [GFDL (www.gnu.org/copyleft/fdl.html) or CC-BY-SA-3.0-2.5-2.0-1.0 (www.creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0)], via Wikimedia Commons
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/c/c5/GouguAnim.ogv/mid-GouguAnim.ogv.jpg